Šuška dakle madrac eheee [lol]
Febo pa jesi živ ?
opr – traže volontere za Haiti, pa kad već nemaš pametnija posla [lol]
Iskreno rečeno razmišljao sam o Egiptu. Sunca već odavno nisam vidio. Kažu tko gleda u sunce ne treba da jede.
Možda uštedim na hrani pa će madrac ostati duže pun? [lol]
Nee jos, Egipat tek od treceg mjeseca, tad se možeš kupat, a ima i ruskinja [thumbsup]
Sharm al Sheik
opr – traže volontere za Haiti, pa kad već nemaš pametnija posla [lol]
S time se nije šaliti. [undecid]
Al’ razmišljao sam. [huh]
Pa eto – ako ti dosadi samo se prešaltaš u neki all inclusive resort na Dominicani , 30 EUR dnevno all inclusive , eto blago ti se , dobro iskoristi vrijeme koje imaš i uživaj , ja odo [thumbsup]
Pa eto – ako ti dosadi samo se prešaltaš u neki all inclusive resort na Dominicani , 30 EUR dnevno all inclusive , eto blago ti se , dobro iskoristi vrijeme koje imaš i uživaj , ja odo [thumbsup]
Ne može tebi firma propasti. Led eskimima bi prodao. [lol]
January 22, 2010
Sentiment Selling Under Way…50 Day Ema’s All Gone
by Robert New / Jack Steiman
Market Overview:
We started the day with a move lower once again. Markets across the oceans were lower and thus so were ours. You could feel the fear of buying after the selling over the past few days. During the week nearly all of the major Indices we track broke through not only our Rising Support Lines off the March Lows but also our 50 EMA support levels. Bigger picture if you study our first chart below of the SP 500 Monthly the market stalled out at our highlighted backtest of our 2008 breakdown area at our 1150 Resistance zone clearly seen in our first chart below. In the 3 charts to follow of the Daily SP 500, Dow, and Nasdaq we made clean breakdown moves below both our multi-month Rising Support Lines and 50 EMA’s in a "flight to the exits" type of move. When sentiment gets as bullish as we highlighted in last weekends report conditions are ripe and odds high for a decent corrective move based on historical precedent which is why we’ve been able to avoid the downside carnage seen this week.
Think of a spark plug. The engine starts when the key is turned and the plug gives that spark. You see that small electric current passing through and you get the desired result. I have talked about sentiment for some weeks, flashing that red flag that the bull bear spread was getting too frothy. Slowly but surely the risk was increasing in the market as each week seemed to bring slightly more bulls and slightly less bears. Sentiment is NOT an exact timing mechanism. It needs that spark to finally kick in. There weren’t any sparks available to the bears thus the market kept crawling higher. Small sticks up but up nonetheless. Where would that spark come from is what the bears were asking themselves. The sentiment issues alone made the climb up difficult for sure but the market still refused to sell. Yesterday, early in the morning we saw the President of the United States make a speech about bank/financial regulations. He basically said the noose was around the neck of these institutions now and that they would no longer be able to haphazardly just make risky trades without consequence. The government would no longer be there to help them. To bail them out. Restrictions would now exist to curtail what they could do. THERE WAS YOUR SPARK!!! Gs fell 10 points in a matter of minutes. All the financial’s/banks fell apart. The selling was under way. Then came spark number two. That it was increasingly uncertain that Bernanke would be reappointed. Two sparks equal 5% in a few days to the down side. The sentiment issue finally had a few spark plugs added in and down we went.
Before the selling started I spoke about how it was likely we would test the 50 day exponential moving averages across all the major index charts once things got going. It was my thinking that we would hold those 50 day exponential moving averages with the possibility of a slight breach. WRONG! We went through those 50’s like a hot knife through butter. Not good. The leader, the Nas, was the last to go but it too went without a fight. All of the major indexes are cleanly through here and it’s about now or never for them to capture those levels back. Many months back we lost the 50’s on the Sp and Dow but the Nasdaq never lost it. No confirmation. Now they’re all gone. Add the Wilshire 5000 and the news is not good here. The question we now have to ask is whether we’re in a correction or something much different. That is a total unknown at this time but the door is now open to that something else no one wants to deal with. The story remains unwritten so we have much to learn in the weeks ahead but this isn’t what the bulls wanted I can guarantee you that. Healthy markets correct back to the 50’s and then start the climb all over again as we have seen on four different occasions since the March lows of 2009. The red flag is up. The next few
Jedino uporište koje je zadnjih mjeseci spriječavalo potpuno potonuće hrvatskog tržišta kapitala je bio bull market u SAD-u. Sad se više ne možemo hvatati za slamke, pa je logično da će sve potonuti.
Država i ekonomija su u rasulu, pa zašto bi dionice rasle?
Nemojte se zavaravati da će biti rasta u ovoj najtežoj godini od domovinskog rata. [bye]