Ima da investitori ovako izgledaju ako ovo stvarno ovako pukne:

http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/banke/hpb-gubitak-cak-milijardu-kuna!%3f,62680.html

Joj izgleda da i gosn Krugman polako pada u depresiju [cry]
On mi je bio zadnja nada, bio mi je sve što srce ima, bio mi je ali više nije………

Several recent reports suggest that the recovery is faltering. See today’s ISM index, for example, as well as the global PMI, continuing jobless claims, and the house-price recovery.

Paul Krugman cites other disappointing news (as well as the ISM) and says that the risk of a double-dip is increasing:

I’ve never been fully committed to the notion that we’re going to have a “double dip” — that the economy will slide back into recession. But it has been clear for a while that it’s a serious possibility, for two reasons.

First, a large part of the growth we’ve had has been driven by the stimulus — but the stimulus has already had its maximum impact on the growth of GDP, will hit its maximum impact on the level of GDP in the middle of next year, and then will begin to fade out. Second, the rise in manufacturing production is to a large extent an inventory bounce — and this, too, will fade out in the quarters ahead.

http://www.safehaven.com/article-15188.htm

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/12/jobs-contract-23rd-straight-month.html

Svjet je u krizi,bilo ih je i prije ,pa smo opstali.
http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/gospodarstvo/kraj-krize-je-jos-daleko.html
Izgleda da i ovaj druka,al evo Gubernov brat u Californiji,decko uziva radi sa naftom i proizvodi plin.
Nije svima loše,nit svi gledaju crno.

http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/banke/hpb-porasla-stednja%2c-u-listopadu-konacno-ostvarena-op
erativna-dobit,62416.html
Đe je lova ?

TrimTabs: The Real Job Loss Number Was 255,000
Joe Weisenthal|Dec. 4, 2009, 2:56 PM | 1,629 |comment14
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Tags: Unemployment, Jobs

Just about every time the monthly jobs numbers comes out, economic research firm TrimTabs comes out and slams the government’s methodology, usually honing in on the Birth/Death model of new businesses entering the market.

This week is no exception.

Frankly, we’re not sure what to make of their arguments. We’ve been hearing about this Birth-Death issue for a long time, but unless you believe they’re changing their methodology from month to month, then that issue only goes so far.

We welcome your thoughts.

————

TrimTabs’ Estimates 255,000 Jobs Lost in November, While BLS Reports a Decline of Only 11,000

BLS Revises September and October Results Down a Whopping 45%

Something’s Not Right in Kansas!

TrimTabs employment analysis, which uses real-time daily income tax deposits from all U.S. taxpayers to compute employment growth, estimated that the U.S. economy shed 255,000 jobs in November. This past month’s results were an improvement of only 10.2% from the 284,000 jobs lost in October.

Meanwhile, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the U.S. economy lost an astonishingly better than expected 11,000 jobs in November. In addition, the BLS revised their September and October results down a whopping 203,000 jobs, resulting in a 45% improvement over their preliminary results.

Something is not right in Kansas! Either the BLS results are wrong, our results are in error, or the truth lies somewhere in the middle

We believe the BLS is grossly underestimating current job losses due to their flawed survey methodology. Those flaws include rigid seasonal adjustments, a mysterious birth/death adjustment, and the fact that only 40% to 60% of the BLS survey is complete by the time of the first release and subject to revision.

Seasonal adjustments are particularly problematic around the holiday season due to the large number of temporary holiday-related jobs added to payrolls in October and November which then disappear in January. In the past two months, the BLS seasonal adjustments subtracted 2.4 million jobs from the results. In January, when the seasonal adjustments are the largest of the year, the BLS will add anywhere from 2.0 to 2.3 million jobs. In our opinion, trying to glean monthly job losses numbering in the tens of thousands or even in the hundreds of thousands are lost in the enormous size of the seasonal adjustments.

In November, the BLS revised their September and October job losses down a surprising 44.5%, or 203,000 jobs. In the twelve months ending in October, the BLS revised their job loss estimates up or down by a staggering 679,000 jobs, or 13.0%. Until this past month, these revisions brought the BLS’ revised estimates to within a couple percent of TrimTabs’ original estimates.

The large divergence between the two results begs the question of what is causing the difference. While we don’t have an answer today, we will be poring over the data in an attempt to answer that question.

Source: TrimTabs Investment Research – http://www.trimtabs.com and Bureau of Labor Statistics – http://www.bls.com

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/12/senator-bunning-to-bernanke-you-are.html

The Good Jobs Data Was All Temporary Workers And The Public Sector
Michael Panzner|Dec. 4, 2009, 4:12 PM | 1,465 |comment17
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Tags: Unemployment, Jobs, Recession

panzner(This post originally appeared on the author’s blog.)

Economists and stock bulls cheered this morning’s better-than-expected November employment report. But was the data as good as it seemed? Consider the following:

Temporary jobs

Could the nine-month rally in share prices and the positive spin pouring out of Wall Street and Washington have encouraged some owners and managers, who are seeing little direct evidence of rebound in the economy, to acquire what might be described as a labor call option — that is, temporary staff (a key factor in the overall increase)?

Otherwise, temporary employees accounted for 52,400 of the hefty 86,000 jump in the professional and business services category. Might this reflect the fact that firms are temporarily taking on accountants, lawyers, and others who can help them further reduce costs (e.g., labor), restructure operations, and maybe even prepare for bankruptcy?

Long-term unemployed

Today’s employment report revealed that the labor force participation rate dropped to 65%, it’s lowest level in more than two decades; the number of Americans who are unemployed over 26 weeks fell to a record 3.8% of the civilian workforce; and, the "underemployment" ratio improved only marginally, to 17.2%.

Could this set of statistics be interpreted as a sign that employers don’t see enough good opportunities to justify taking risks as far as hiring is concerned? In other words, are they are sticking with the safe option — the job market’s "known quantities" (e.g., those who are currently employed or who haven’t been out of work too long)?

Category trends

While much of the focus was on the overall number, the breakdown by category was less reassuring. Those areas of the economy that would naturally be associated with a sustainable rebound in activity, including manufacturing, trade, transportation and utilities, and construction, are still hemorrhaging jobs.

Moreover, recent developments suggest that two categories which did see respectable gains, education and health care, face major headwinds in the period ahead. With municipal budgets under growing strain, school budgets — and education-related hiring — have nowhere to go but down. And with all eyes now focused on the rising cost of health care, the pressure to reign in spending will only increase.

http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-persons-not-in-the-labor-force-2009-12

Bank failure tally reaches 130,six banks closed

The nation’s tally of 2009 bank casualties hit 130 Friday when regulators shuttered a large Ohio bank, an Illinois bank, a Virginia bank and three small Georgia banks.

Tako je to kad nisi "Too big to fail"