Ameri će danas dobro potegnut up!
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Deal close on $700 billion financial bailout plan- AP
President Bush is bringing presidential candidates Barack Obama and John McCain into negotiations on a $700 billion rescue of Wall Street as Democrats and Republicans near agreement on a bailout plan with more protections for taxpayers and new help for distressed homeowners.
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Ameri će danas svakako dobro potegnuti, a sad da li će to biti up ostaje da vidimo!
Sudeći po futersima, ne može se reči da su optimistični.
Liepo bi bilo kada bi netko pokušao racionalno procijeniti benefite za HR tržište od ovih 700 milijardi dolara.
Moja je procjena 500 – 700 milijuna dolara.
[shocked] pa tolko otprilike iznose cjelokupna američka ulaganja u HR u zadnjih 15 godina.
bi bio zadovoljan kad bi 500 – 700 000$ dospjelo na naše tržište.
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Nakon kraha tržišta derivata investitori će se okretati dionicama. Frontier marketi će u tom sudjelovati s cca 2%, a HR dionice u imovini fondova uglavnom sudjeluju s 3-4%.
ne bih vas želio plašiti…………ali…………..
FDIC May Need $150 Billion Bailout as Local Bank Failures Mount
By David Evans
Sept. 25 (Bloomberg) — Deborah Horn tugs on the handle of the glass-paned entrance of the IndyMac Bancorp Inc. branch in Manhattan Beach, California. The door won’t budge. The weekend is approaching, and Horn, 44, the sole breadwinner in a family of three, needs cash.
A small notice taped to the window on this Friday afternoon in mid-July tells her why she’s been locked out. IndyMac has failed, the single-spaced, letter-sized paper says; the bank is now in the hands of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
“The Receiver is now taking possession of the Bank,” the sign says.
“I’m physically shaking,” says Horn, an academic tutor, as she peers into the bank. Inside, an FDIC examiner is talking to six stone-faced IndyMac employees. “I don’t know when I’m going to be able to get my money,” Horn says. “I’m a single mom. This is the money I live on.”
Don’t worry about Horn. She’ll be all right, as will most of Pasadena, California-based IndyMac’s 200,000-plus customers.
That’s because the FDIC, created in 1934, insures all accounts up to $100,000 at its member banks, and it has never failed to honor a claim. The people to worry about are U.S. taxpayers.
The IndyMac debacle is taking a large bite out of FDIC reserves, and if scores of other banks fail in the year ahead, the fund will be depleted. Taxpayers will have to step in.
Worst Wave
Americans have gotten used to the idea that bank failures were as rare as a category five hurricane. No banks went bust in 2005 or 2006. Seven collapsed in 2007 as the credit crisis began to exact a toll. So far in 2008, 12 more, with total assets of $42 billion, have fallen — that’s the worst wave of bank failures since 1992.
IndyMac, which had $32 billion in assets when it went into receivership, is the most expensive bank failure the FDIC has ever covered. And that record may not stand for long.
By the end of 2009, about 100 U.S. banks with collective assets of more than $800 billion will fail, predicts Christopher Whalen, managing director of Institutional Risk Analytics, a Torrance, California-based firm that sells its analysis of FDIC data to investors.
“It’s not going to be Armageddon,” says Mark Vaughan, an economist and assistant vice president for banking supervision and regulation at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Virginia. “But it’s going to be bad.”
FDIC’s Secret List
The FDIC knows which banks are at risk; it has a watch list with 117 institutions. The agency won’t disclose their names because doing so could cause depositors to panic and pull out all of their funds.
It won’t take many more failures before the FDIC itself runs out of money. The agency had $45.2 billion in its coffers as of June 30, far short of the $200 billion Whalen says it will need to pay claims by the end of next year. The U.S. Treasury will almost certainly come to the rescue.
Regardless of who wins control of the White House and Congress in November, no politician is likely to vote in favor of leaving federally insured depositors out in the cold.
A taxpayer bailout of the FDIC would come on the heels of intervention by the U.S. Treasury Department and Federal Reserve to save investment bank Bear Stearns Cos., mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the world’s largest insurer, American International Group Inc.
Uninsured Deposits
Emergency federal funding of the FDIC could swell the cost of government rescues of failed financial institutions to more than $400 billion — not including the $700 billion general Wall Street bailout now under discussion in Congress.
That number would be even higher if the government were on the hook for uninsured deposits — which amount to $2.6 trillion, 37 percent of the total of $7 trillion held in the U.S. branches of all FDIC member banks.
The
sve mi se čini da će biti golemog rezanja i bježanja…
neće odobriti 700 mlrd sigurno jer nisu naveli konkretne planove…za koga i kako..a u tih 700 mlrd nisu uračunali main street
RJEŠENJE KRIZE
Soros: Plan je loš, SAD treba emitirati posebne državne obveznice
Autor/izvor: SEEbiz
LONDON – Jedan od vodećih svjetskih investitora George Soros, oštro je danas, u autorskom tekstu kojeg je prenio londonski Financial Times, kritizirao plan američke administracije za ozdravljenje domaćeg financijskog tržišta, nazvavši ga "nepromišljenim."
sve mi se čini da će biti golemog rezanja i bježanja…
neće odobriti 700 mlrd sigurno jer nisu naveli konkretne planove…za koga i kako..a u tih 700 mlrd nisu uračunali main street
Ameri će sasvim sigurno poduzeti mjere za spas svoje ekonomije ali to vrlo vjerojatno neće biti ovaj "plan" 700 mlrd$.
Svjesni su a i opravdano sumnjaju da bi njihovi "biznismeni" malo drugačije rasporedili te novce te da bi za neko vrijeme opet bili u sličnoj situaciji a drž. trezor bi bio pun bezvrjednih papira!
Čini mi se da čemo se mi načekati dok se ne donesu konkretne mijere.
Evo ih 0,3% u minusu, ali je to možda dobar znak za ulaz jer oni u zadnje vrijeme završavaju trgovanje inverzno od futersa.
…..samo da vidite koliko je Buffett riskirao kad je kupio povlaštene dionice Goldman sachsa [smiley]
UPOZORENJA
Buffett: Prolazimo kroz gospodarski Pearl Harbour
Autor/izvor: Teuta Franjković
NEW YORK – Milijarder Warren Buffett, nazvao je tržišna previranja – gospodarskim Pearl Harbourom. Nadodao je i kako je njegovih pet milijardi dolara investiranih u Goldman Sachs, samo sićušan dio plana spašavanja te banke, a vrijednog 700 milijardi dolara.
„Nije Pearl Harbour gdje si svojim očima mogao vidjeti što se dešava te odlučiti što ćeš taj dan učiniti. Ovo je vrsta gospodarskog Pearl Harboura“ izjavio je Buffett.
„Vjerujem da će Kongres učiniti pravu stvar za američku javnost i proslijediti ovu svotu banci. Vjerujem u Goldman ali i u Kongres“ izjavio je Buffett. Ministar financija Henry Paulson i čelnik FED-a Ben S. Bernanke vrše pritisak na kongres da se što prije ukloni likvidna imovina iz bankovnog sistema. Buffett se na kupnju udjela u Goldmanu odlučio nakon što su kolabirale tri najveće financijske institucije. Dionice Goldmana porasle su 4,95 dolara odnosno četiri posto na 130 dolara na NYSE nakon što je objavljena ova investicija.
Buffett je tako uložio u najprofitabilniju američku banku nakon bankrota Lehman Brothers Holdinga te prodaje Merrill Lyncha Bank of Americi, odnosno Bears Stearnsa JP Morgan Chaseu.
Potsjetimo, izvršni direktor Goldmana Lloyd Blankfein se obratio direktno Buffettu za pomoć kako bi povećao povjerenje tržišta iako ta investicijska banka nije objavila kvartalni gubitak još od 1999. godine kada je postala javna kompanija. No, bankrot Lehman Brothersa i hitna prodaja Merrill Lyncha Bank od Americi proširila je zabrinutost među investitorima o kompanijama koje se za dobivanje sredstava isključivo oslanjaju na tržište vrijednosnicama.
Uz dodatan kapital koji daje Buffett, iz Goldmana poručuju kako javnosti planiraju prodati obične dionice vrijedne najmanje 2,5 milijarde dolara, što će za tu tvrtku biti prva takva ponuda od 2000. godine. Prema ugovoru, povlaštene dionice koje sada kupi Berkshire, investicijska banka može otkupiti u bilo koje vrijeme uz 10 posto premije.
Isto tako, uz Buffetta i njegovu kompaniju, u javnu ponudu dionica Goldman Sachsa vjerojatno će uložiti druga najveća japanska banka Sumitomo Mitsui financial Group, tvrde neimenovani izvori. Odluka o potrazi za dodatnim kapitalom znači veliki preokret za Goldman Sachs, koji se ovoga tjedna od najveće američke kompanije za vrijednosne papere ‘pretvorio’ u četvrti najveći bankovni holding.
što je sad ovo? EU naglo počela rasti,a i futuresi iz crvenila okrenuli u solidno zeleno???
što je sad ovo? EU naglo počela rasti,a i futuresi iz crvenila okrenuli u solidno zeleno???
To se zove volatilnost…