Sve je moguće, samo je pitanje vremena.
Ali za ovu godinu ja vidim naftu samo gore i nigdje drugdje jer igrači koji su digli naftu nebudu spustili jer plavi ili sampras tako kažu ili misle, a do tada će svi index-i padati a sa njima naravno i dionice.

A vi se veselite i vičite up up i gledajte kako Vam se minus povečava.
p.s. ja sam i dalje u cashu
[/quote]

Ivane, nafta ide gore do izbora jer kad crnjo dođe onda aufwiedersen naftnom balonu. To jako dobro znaju američki naftni lobiji i ovaj period je maximalno izvlačenje profita dok se još može. Iz tog raloga je jasno ko dan da nafta ide samo gore do pred kraj godine, a onda rollercoster prema dole. To znaju i ulagači, te im je to i jedan od parametara pri slaganju portfelja. Do kraja godine bi trebalo iskoristit situaciju i ući jeftino u neke pozicije, jer sljedeće godine nafta može u samo jednom smjeru-dolje. Nema ovdje nepoznanica.Pozdrav!

@Barbossa,

nafta je balon, al neće ići dole bez obzira na prosvjede u svijetu.Ko da su oni neki faktor, moš mislit… Do američkih izbora se ubire maximalni profit jer je tako dogovoreno među gospodarima novca/svijeta. Sljedeće godine nafta ide sigurno dole, ali ove ne. Možda pred kraj godine. Treba stisnuti zube i pregrmiti ili polako ulaziti u pozicije ovih dana ako se ima para, jer burza će anticipirati pad nafte puno prije nego se ona stvarno počne događati. Pozdrav

Ja mislim da sad treba izlaziti iz pozicija, jer je scenario sloma u 9. mj vrlo moguć.
Pozdrav.

Jer po meni ako se cijena nafte samo zadrži tu gdje je, bez daljnjeg rasta, neće biti dobro a kamoli ako poraste na 200$ onda će biti gore nego kaj si ja mislim ( a da ne kažem da su neki tulipani jučer pričali o 500$ na blombergu i na cnbc ali to se neće sigurno dogoditi- bar se nadam).

Otvorim Business.hr i evo prve vijesti!

Dow Jones potonuo ispod 12.000 bodova
Business.hr/Hina
21.06.2008 12:20
Cijene dionica na Wall Streetu u petak su oštro pale, pri čemu je Dow Jones indeks, prvi puta nakon tri mjeseca, zaronio ispod razine od 12.000 bodova, jer su ulagači zabrinuti zbog rasta cijene nafte i najave novih otpisa nenaplativih potraživanja banaka.

Dow Jones indeks potonuo je 220 bodova ili 1,83 posto, na 11.842 boda, najnižu razinu od polovice ožujka. S&P indeks pao je, pak, 1,85 posto, na 1.317 bodova, dok je Nasdaq indeks izgubio 2,27 posto, zaronivši na 2.406 bodova.

Cijena barela nafte porasla je jučer ponovno iznad 134 dolara, što je oživjelo strahovanja od inflacije i pada potrošnje Amerikanaca.
I na europskim su burzama u petak cijene dionica oštro pale. FTSE indeks Londonske burze izgubio je 1,53 posto, zaronivši na 5.620 bodova, dok je na Frankfurtskoj burzi DAX indeks potonuo 2,12 posto, na 6.578 bodova.

Ne bu dobro!

The Saudis will increase oil production capacity gradually over the next year according to a senior advisor to the Minister of Petroleum.

Oil Barrels
AP

At the Jeddah Energy Meeting in Saudi Arabia, Ibrahim Al-Muhanna told CNBC’s Melissa Francis that production would increase significantly "by the middle of next year."

The nation’s current total capacity of 11.3 million barrels per day is expected to increase by 12.5 million barrels per day, Al-Muhanna said. That is much more than the Saudi’s previously believed capacity of 10.8 million barrels per day.

The government initiated the meeting in Jeddah less than two weeks ago, calling for producers and consumers to gather to address the high price of crude. Saudi Arabia has been criticized for not dramatically increasing production in order to lower prices.

Market confusion has surrounded both Saudi Arabian production and capacity recently. Saudi Petroleum Minister Al-Naimi made headlines on Friday at the meeting when he confirmed Saudi production would be 9.7 million barrels per day in July.

On Friday, Light, sweet crude
NYMEX CRUDE OIL FUTURES Front Month
US%40CL.1

134.62 2.69 +2.04%
BIS
Quote | Chart | News | Profile
[US@CL.1 134.62 2.69 (+2.04%)] for July delivery rose $2.69 to settle at $134.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, recovering some of the $4.75 that the contract lost Thursday after China announced it was raising fuel prices. London Brent
IPE BRENT CRUDE Future Front Month C
GB%40IB.1

134.39 2.39 +1.81%
KRF – US
Quote | Chart | News | Profile
[GB@IB.1 134.39 2.39 (+1.81%)] was also up.

Crude prices ended the week largely unchanged, falling only 24 cents from last Friday’s close despite reaching a new trading record of $139.89 on Monday.

The July crude oil contract expired at the end of trading. Trading was much heavier in the August crude contract, which rose $2.76 to settle at $135.36 a barrel.

While Thursday’s news from China helped to reduce investor concerns about surging global demand for oil and fuel, Friday’s news from the Middle East injected fresh supply worries into the market.

Pentagon officials said a large scale Israeli military exercise in the eastern Mediterranean early this month could have been a demonstration of Jerusalem’s ability to attack Iranian nuclear facilities.

From ‘Fast Money’:

* See the Latest Picks that Paid

Analysts suggested Thursday’s drop in prices and Friday’s gains were overreactions.

"Whenever you get Israel and Iran within the same sentence, you have a price reaction," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Ill.

But price moves based on the possibility of conflict between the two nations are likely to be short-lived, analysts believe. An actual attack would be a different matter entirely, and could send prices sharply higher.

Meanwhile, several analysts said China’s fuel price hike could actually increase the nation’s crude demand. Many Chinese refiners have resisted producing fuel in recent months as the retail prices they’re allowed to charge were not high enough to cover the costs of their main raw ingredient, crude oil. Now that they can charge more for fuel, Chinese refiners may actually produce more diesel and gasoline, using more crude oil in the process.

"The increase in prices can be see…as an attempt to reduce shortages through encouraging domestic supply," said Barclays Capital analyst Kevin Norrish in a research note. "Indeed, it could well be that case that effective demand actually rises, dependent on the current level of shortages."

Some analysts also questioned whether the modest price hikes were enough to dampen demand.

"It remains uncertain whether this fuel price hike in China will really significantly impact demand growth in China in a negative way," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst

Da se posjetimo…….
Vaš link
Vaš link
Vaš link

Kako zaraditi na nafti?

Bez obzira jeste li u pogledu cijene nafte optimisti ili pesimisti, pa čak i ako ste negdje na pola puta, kao agnostici, još uvijek nije kasno da se uključite u igru i zaradite na nafti.

http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/burze/kako-zaraditi-na-nafti%3f,18438.html

Gorivo obuzdava rast i potiče inflaciju

http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/tvrtke/energetika/gorivo-obuzdava-rast-i-potice-inflaciju,18491.html

Iran: Idućih dana očekuje se porast cijene nafte

http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/tvrtke/energetika/iran-iducih-dana-ocekuje-se-porast-cijene-nafte,18486.html

Svjetski indeksi padaju, dno još nije dosegnuto
Vaš link

http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/22/news/international/Saudi_summit/index.htm
iznad mojih očekivanja….povećanje od 8%.
sad sve ovisi o bankama ovaj tjedan.