I sutra zelenilo u USA.
IBM i Google pobjedili predviđanja!

IBM ima revenue lošiji od predviđanja. EPS je skočio zbog rezanja troškova. Znači business ne napreduje. Nadalje, ovaj skok je danas krenuo kada je Roubini navodno izjavio da je kraj krize. Ispalo je da je to šala mala. Evo i službenog demantija a što će biti sutra bumo vidli:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
July 16, 2009
STATEMENT ON U.S. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK BY DR. NOURIEL ROUBINI

The following is a statement from Dr. Nouriel Roubini, Chairman of RGE
Monitor and Professor, New York University, Stern School of Business:
“It has been widely reported today that I have stated that the recession
will be over “this year” and that I have “improved” my economic outlook.
Despite those reports – however – my views expressed today are no different
than the views I have expressed previously. If anything my views were taken
out of context.
“I have said on numerous occasions that the recession would last roughly 24
months. Therefore, we are 19^ months into that recession. If as I predicted
the recession is over by year end, it will have lasted 24 months with a
recovery only beginning in 2010. Simply put I am not forecasting economic
growth before year’s end.
“Indeed, last year I argued that this will be a long and deep and protracted
U-shaped recession that would last 24 months. Meanwhile, the consensus
argued that this would be a short and shallow V-shaped 8 months long
recession (like those in 1990-91 and 2001). That debate is over today as we
are in the 19^th month of a severe recession; so the V is out of the window
and we are in a deep U-shaped recession. If that recession were to be over
by year end – as I have consistently predicted – it would have lasted 24
months and thus been three times longer than the previous two and five times
deeper – in terms of cumulative GDP contraction – than the previous two. So,
there is nothing new in my remarks today about the recession being over at
the end of this year.
“I have also consistently argued – including in my remarks today – that
while the consensus predicts that the US economy will go back close to
potential growth by next year, I see instead a shallow, below-par and
below-trend recovery where growth will average about 1% in the next couple
of years when potential is probably closer to 2.75%.
“I have also consistently argued that there is a risk of a double-dip
W-shaped recession toward the end of 2010, as a tough policy dilemma will
emerge next year: on one side, early exit from monetary and fiscal easing
would tip the economy into a new recession as the recovery is anemic and
deflationary pressures are dominant. On the other side, maintaining large
budget deficits and continued monetization of such deficits would eventually
increase long term interest rates (because of concerns about medium term
fiscal sustainability and because of an increase in expected inflation) and
thus would lead to a crowding out of private demand.
“While the recession will be over by the end of the year the recovery will
be weak given the debt overhang in the household sector, the financial
system and the corporate sector; and now there is also a massive
re-leveraging of the public sector with unsustainable fiscal deficits and
public debt accumulation.
“Also, as I fleshed out in detail in recent remarks the labor market is
still very weak: I predict a peak unemployment rate of close to 11% in 2010.
Such large unemployment rate will have negative effects on labor income and
consumption growth; will postpone the bottoming out of the housing sector;
will lead to larger defaults and losses on bank loans (residential a

@virbus

Uopće nije rekao da je kraj krize, nego je izjavio da kraj očekuje krajem ove godine, a to je bitna razlika od oko 5 mjeseci i kusur dana. Imaš i članak na Seebizu

TESKE BORBE SE VODE NA DAX OKO 5000

Dax probio 5000 bodova! Mogli bi mi danas 2000! [thumbsup]

nama nas jačih na svijetu, svi u plusu mi u minusu, bravo za nas.
odoh čašu vinčeka popiti uz marendu , dan za zaboraviti
bogec ljudi

vani se trend lagano usporio…

a kod nas valjda nem niš lagano…il pičimo gore il pičimo dolje

Crobexcoaster [lol]

ameri za proboj a ti se boriš sa utvarama u svojoj glavi
bilo bi bolje da to odeš rješavati u nadležne institucije, nije ovo tema- doktore pomozite

STATEMENT ON U.S. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK BY DR. NOURIEL ROUBINI

dežurni katastrofičar
imate njega i još par likova koji samo o tome trube – onaj opičeni Celente
pa onda ove koji su optimisti i ko fol sve je pod kontrolom nema problema idemo dalje spika

a u stvari su svi isti tim samo što to još gro ljudi nije uočio

ameri za proboj a ti se boriš sa utvarama u svojoj glavi
bilo bi bolje da to odeš rješavati u nadležne institucije, nije ovo tema- doktore pomozite
[/quote]

http://finance.yahoo.com/marketupdate/overview;_ylt=AmCmc_lI23CksI8Vq.k4oJC7YWsA?u

Ako da se mene pita…situacija je daleko od katastrofe.

Da ne bi pomiješao lončiće.

No burza je takva kakva je.