Tehnička Analiza – grafovi, savjeti i analize

Naslovnica Forum Tržište kapitala Hrvatska Tehnička Analiza – grafovi, savjeti i analize

Forum namijenjen svim temama vezanim za dionice, obveznice i druge vrijednosne papire te trgovanje istima u Hrvatskoj.

Evo zastava na Crobexu !!
LP svima !!

I very much love INGRA !!


Evo zastava na Crobexu !!
LP svima !!

Mrgud, ajd stavi dnevni graf.

Dnevni graf Crobexa 2 x ??
Može na PS upit koji sam ti poslao na PS.
LP

I very much love INGRA !!

ATPL zastavica

I very much love INGRA !!


Dnevni graf Crobexa 2 x ??
Može na PS upit koji sam ti poslao na PS.
LP

neznam ti odgovoriti na ono o SMAovima…
pitaj tonija , mozda on zna kak se ukljucuje.

ps. uvijek je dobro stvaiti uz graf neki oscilator – npr. MACD, RSI,
bar jedan

1.618 od A dolazi na 1745…mogao bi i dalje figurirati target 1732 , sto je 38,2% retracmenta 3 valica zadnjeg rasta.



Dnevni graf Crobexa 2 x ??
Može na PS upit koji sam ti poslao na PS.
LP

neznam ti odgovoriti na ono o SMAovima…
pitaj tonija , mozda on zna kak se ukljucuje.

ps. uvijek je dobro stvaiti uz graf neki oscilator – npr. MACD, RSI,
bar jedan
[/quote]

Ma sve 5 prijatelju riješeno.. ima dobrih ljudi koji pomažu, već je riješeno samo mi je trebala potvrda. Mislio sam da si OK pa ćeš pomoći, međutim ??

I very much love INGRA !!

jel mi moze ko reć za IGH jel stvoren H&S


jel mi moze ko reć za IGH jel stvoren H&S

je …
da utazimo tvoju znatizelju.

(graf – samo za male dionicare)

IGH

[thumbsup]

Don’t Be Fooled by Inflation

Strike up the band, boys, happy days are here again! Recently released short-term economic data, including unemployment claims, non-farm payrolls, home sales, and business spending, which had been so unambiguously horrific in February and March, are now just garden-variety awful. With the Wicked Witch of Depression now apparently crushed under the house of Obamanomics, the Munchkins of Wall Street have sounded the all clear, pushing the Dow Jones up 25% from its lows. But the premature conclusion of their Lollipop Guild economists, that the crash of 2008/2009 is now a fading memory, is just as delusional as their failure to see it coming in the first place.

Once again, the facts do not support the euphoria. Over the past few months, the government has literally blasted the economy with trillions of new dollars conjured from the ether. The fact that this “stimulus” has blown some air back into our deflating consumer-based bubble economy, and given a boost to an oversold stock market, is hardly evidence that the problems have been solved. It is simply an illusion, and not a very good one at that. By throwing money at the problem, all the government is creating is inflation. Although this can often look like growth, it is no more capable of creating wealth than a hall of mirrors is capable of creating people.

We are currently suffering from an overdose of past stimulus. A larger dose now will only worsen the condition. The Greenspan/Bush stimulus of 2001 prevented a much needed recession and bought us seven years of artificial growth. The multi-trillion dollar tab for that episode of federally-engineered economic bullet-dodging came due in 2008. The 2001 stimulus had kicked off a debt-fueled consumption binge that resulted in economic weakness, not strength. So now, even though the recent stimulus administered a much larger dose, we will likely experience a much smaller bounce. One can only speculate as to how much time this stimulus will buy and what it will cost when the bill arrives.

My guess is that, at most, the Bernanke/Obama stimulus will buy two years before the hangover sets in. However, since this dose is so massive, the comedown will be equally horrific. My fear is that when the drug wears off, we will reach for that monetary syringe one last time. At that point, the dosage may be lethal, and the economy will die of hyperinflation.

As always, the bulls fail to understand that investors can lose wealth even as nominal stock prices rise. As a corollary, the bearish case is not discredited by rising stock prices. While there are some bears that mistakenly cling to the idea that deflation will cause the dollar to rise, those of us in the inflation camp understand that the opposite will occur.

In the meantime, stocks are not rising because the long-term fundamentals of our economy are improving. If anything, the rise in global stock prices is due to investors realizing that cash is even riskier then stocks. The massive inflation that is the source of the stimulus is essentially punishment for those holding cash. To preserve purchasing power, investors must seek alternative stores of value, such as common stock.

It is important to point out that despite an impressive rally, U.S. stocks have substantially underperformed foreign stocks. In the past two months, while the Dow Jones has risen 30%, the Hang Seng and the German DAX have risen by over 50% in U.S. dollars. Commodity prices are also rising, with oil hitting a five-month high. And gold is shining as well, with the HUI index of gold stocks up 30% during the past two months, and 2/3 of those gains occurring in the past month. If this rally really were about improving economic fundamentals, gold stocks would not be among the leaders. Further, during those two months, the U.S. dollar index fell by 7%, with commodity-sensitive currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars surging 20%.



jel mi moze ko reć za IGH jel stvoren H&S

je …
da utazimo tvoju znatizelju.

(graf – samo za male dionicare)

IGH

[thumbsup]
[/quote]

dobro, nakon sto sam dobio par PM od malih dionicara na kojima me se trazi objasnjenje grafa, odlucio sam pojasniti sto pise na grafu.

dakle, formiran je obrazac "obrnuta glave i ramena" na IGH.
sada se nalazimo na liniji vrata i to je dobra prilika za kupnju.
obicno je potrebno da se proboj linije vrata (crvena linija na grafu) potvrdi sa volumenom.
po mome – to je napravljeno.
imamo gornji target od 5500kn.
ukoliko padnemo recimo na cca 3100 , obrazac je kompromitiran i treba prodati dionicu.

dakle, kad IGH krene gore ide do 5500, sa jednim malim zastojom (po mome na 4000kn).
ako ode dole (ispod 3100) – prodaji ga naglavacke na 3000-3100.

sada bi trebalo biti sve jasno.
[thumbsup]

A dašta da je jasno

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