for those who missed it last evening –I threw together a quick post on the USD strength "USD sqeeze coming uup?"

http://www.hedgeaccording.ly/2009/10/dollar-squeeze-coming-uup-showing-signs.html

Today the price action (mainly on the bid per NYSE tick) on the S&P500 & Nasdaq indicated a clear inverse correlation between the dollar and equities. Obviously the connection has always been part of the equation, what has not been as obvious is how many traders are watching this trade. As i posted earlier today on twitter, UUP showed large volume spikes today following the rumor of S&P downgrading the banking sector. If you look a bit further out you can see UUP has been in a downtrend finally finding some historical support down here around 22ish. As Roubini mentioned a dollar collapse is a lot less likely than a dollar rally. If this is the case profits from the rally we begin to be taken aggressively out of fear of, this will create great sell side pressure on equities and commodities alike.
Roubini: A Dollar Rally, Not Crash, Could Slam Markets
http://www.businessinsider.com/roubini-dollar-rally-could-crash-markets-2009-10

Credit Suisse notes yesterday after the close DRYS reported Q3 EPS of $0.27 (excluding non-cash interest rate swaps of -$0.15) beating its estimate of $0.24 (firm was high on the street) and well ahead of consensus at $0.20. The earnings beat was driven by upside surprise to revenue. Net revenue came in better than expected at $222.5 mln (CS at $213.4 mln) and was up 9% Q-Q, but down 30% Y-Y. Rev from DRYS two drill rigs was $107.6 mln (up 4% Q-Q). The revenue increase was driven by improved utilization for the rigs. Looking ahead to Q4 firm expects 3%-4% revenue growth Q-Q on the drill rig fleet as the Leiv Eiriksson is deployed on a new contract at a rate 12% higher than its currently earning. While dry bulk rates surprised to the upside in Q3 and it expects further upside surprise in Q4 the outlook for 2010 remains challenging. However, DRYS is well positioned to weather any potential weakness in the dry bulk sector as the company has ~90% contract coverage next year.

Eh bilo bi lijepo sada kapitalizirati dobit i onda ga za koji mjesec dočekati opet na 5$…

Mogla bi se loptica skočica još koji puta odbiti u prepoznatljivom stilu…

Vidim u USA se dobar dio dionica (pogotovo financijskog sektora) vratio nekoliko mjeseci u rikverc što se vrijednosti tiče.
Kakva su razmišljanja, dobra prilika za kupnju ili očekujete nastavak "akcijske" (ras)prodaje?
Čitam do čega god dođem ali iskreno trenutno pojma nemam pa me čisto zanimaju razmišljanja ili samo osjećaj za feeling [lol] kolega na forumu…

this week Treasury has huge auctions:

· $29 Billion in 91 Day Bills, October 26th
· $30 Billion in 182 Day Bills, October 26th
· $7 Billion in 4.5 Year TIPS, October 26th
· $44 Billion in 2 Year Notes, October 27th
· $41 Billion in 5 Year Notes, October 28th
· $31 Billion in 7 Year Notes, October 29th

dollar must go up

DRYS, AIG, CIT nastavak akcijske rasprodaje i to se utrkuju s popustima [lol]
Dobro zar u izvješću DRYS za 3Q negdje sitnim slovima piše da su im brodovi uletili u minsko polje kad dionica ovako tone ko kamen (cca -6%)!?

CIT Group Inc. said Monday that it had sweetened and extended its debt-exchange offer to holders of bonds issued by a Canadian unit of the embattled lender.

But the changes don’t mean that CIT, which is battling to restructure itself, will make payments on two bonds which come due on Nov. 1 and Nov. 3, according to one person familiar with the situation.

In a regulatory filing Monday, CIT said it had offered on Friday to increase the interest rate payable on the bonds issued by a wholly owned finance subsidiary, CIT Group Funding Company of Delaware, …
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125655296170907819.html?mod=rss_markets_main

Evo kažu ljudi sad ili nikad, još malo pa nestalo, tko rano rani…

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/citi-analyst-says-buy-bank-of-america-shares-2009-10-27

Uzeo malo DRYS ispod 6.50, makar mislim da bi to idućih dana moglo još dolje.
Dočekao FEED na 4.82., valjda neće danas raditi stop loss.

Čekao još par na bidu, uključujući i C ali nula bodova.

Prodao one SPY puteve i bar malo zaradio.

Lijepo bi bilo recimo kad bi GE opet pao na 12-13$. To kupiti i držati bi mogao biti pogodak, prije ili kasnije će vratiti onih 0.20 – 0.31$ kvartalnu dividendu. Naravno to važi samo za dugoročne, koliko ima takvih ovdje? [wink]

Što se tiče BAC, piše se o dokapitalizaciji i izdavanju novih dionica radi plaćanja TARP-a, možda je zato cijena tako pala. A ako je to istina mogla bi još pasti.

I ja primjetio da se C nekako tvrdoglavo drži u plusu danas čak i usprkos nalogu na asku teškom 11 milja $ na 4.30 koji već duže vrijeme statira!?
Ups, upravo ga pojedoše.

Da, neobično mi je malo to za C, ali ta dionica često živi svoj život odvojeno od ostatka burze, zato ju tako i volim 🙂
Ohrabren ovim današnjim otporom sam se poslužio sa manjom količinom.
Ako klizne ispod 4.20 onda mislim da bi 4.00 mogla biti sljedeća postaja.

Imam danas samo jedan mogući daytrade, trebam dobro paziti na što ću ga iskoristiti… [lol]