MMF: Oporavak će biti postupan i krhak
Prema predviđanjima MMF-a u idućoj se godini razvijenim tržištima predviđa rast od 0,5 posto, dok bi tržišta u nastajanju trebala rasti za 1,7 posto, pod uvjetom da aktivnosti u realnom sektoru ostanu stabilne.
Oporavak će biti postupan i krhak, predviđa MMF. (Foto: AFP )ZAGREB – Oporavak od krize u europskim zemljama s tržištima u nastajanju bit će postupan i krhak – rekla je regionalna predstavnica MMF-a Srobona Mitra, predstavljajući danas u Zagrebu publikaciju "Regionalni gospodarski izgledi za Europu" ("Regional economic outlook – Europe").
Prema predviđanjima MMF-a ove će godine u zemljama s razvijenim tržištima BDP biti u minusu oko četiri posto, a u zemljama s tržištima u nastajanju oko 6,6 posto. U idućoj se godini razvijenima predviđa rast od 0,5 posto, dok bi tržišta u nastajanju trebala rasti za 1,7 posto, pod uvjetom da aktivnosti u realnom sektoru ostanu stabilne.
– Puno toga ovisi o oporavku gospodarstva na globalnoj razini i rješavanju problema koji su ostali u financijskom sektoru – rekla je Mitra.
O prognozama za Hrvatsku Mitra nije htjela detaljnije govoriti rekavši da će uskoro o tome izlaganje imati njezini kolege iz MMF-a, no generalno gledajući, po njezinom mišljenju, za našu je zemlju nužno da se provedu strukturne reforme, a predviđa i rast cijena financiranja, više premije za rizik i smanjenje kapitalnih priljeva.
Večernji list
Experts Position Themselves For Dow 10,000
Published: Tuesday, 6 Oct 2009 | 5:10 PM ET
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By: Krystina Gustafson
Special to CNBC.com
Matt Shapiro of Stutland Equities and Bernie McSherry of Cuttone & Co. are positioning themselves for Dow 10,000, they said Tuesday.
"We had two weeks of what I called airpocket micro-correction," Shapiro said. "The traders on the S&P 500 are selling out of those puts … and they’re actually buying calls on the fear the market might move a lot on higher earnings."
McSherry had been betting against the market but said he was tired of fighting the rally.
"I have switched my bet … We’re going to [10,000]," he said.
Što uvaženi kolege misle, o povečanju cijene zlata na povijesni maximum!? To ne uljeva nadu u oporavak, više u sell signal.
krhak?
[lol]
McSherry had been betting against the market but said he was tired of fighting the rally.
I have switched my bet … We’re going to [10,000] he said.
jel vrijedi ona – kad zadnji optimist postane pesimist tržište će gore – i obrnuto?
Kolega Knox, a odakle vam je taj investitor pesimist, mene više podsjeća na majmuna koji je zakasio kad su se dijelile banane, a sad ih treba skupo plaćati [tongue]
Tako je Merline…………….tko zadnji djevojci njegova žena [smiley]
http://www.vjesnik.hr/html/2009/10/07/Clanak.asp?r=gos&c=8
BERLIN – Njemačka će se brže nego što se očekivalo oporaviti od paralizirajuće recesije, kazao je u utorak jedan vladin glasnogovornik, poboljšavši ovogodišnju prognozu za najveće europsko gospodarstvo. Njemačko će gospodarstvo u 2009. zabilježiti pad aktivnosti od četiri do pet posto, u usporedbi s ranijom prognozom o padu BDP-a za šest posto, kazao je taj glasnogovornik
‘Wall of Cash’ to Extend Stock Rally Into 2010, Aberdeen Says
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By Peter Woodifield
Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) — The global recovery in stock markets will stretch into 2010 as people try to make more money than they can from cash and government bonds, according to the investment chief of Scotland’s largest money manager.
“There is a wall of cash out there seeking income-earning assets,” Anne Richards, who oversees 129 billion pounds ($207 billion) at Aberdeen Asset Management Plc, said in an interview at the company’s offices in Edinburgh. “That wall of money will be supportive into next year.”
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index in the U.S. has staged the biggest rally since the Great Depression, soaring more than 50 percent from a March low as economies around the world emerge from recession. The FTSE 100 Index in the U.K. and Germany’s DAX Index recorded similar gains, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index advanced more than 80 percent.
American investors hold $3.5 trillion in cash, a higher proportion of the net assets of the companies in the S&P 500 Index than at the peak of the market in 2007, according to data compiled by the Investment Company Institute in Washington and Bloomberg as of Sept. 28.
At the same time, interest rates worldwide are at or near record lows. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its rate in December to between zero and 0.25 percent.
The Bank of England trimmed its benchmark cost of borrowing to 0.5 percent from 5 percent between September and March. The yield on two-year U.K. government notes has held below 1 percent since Aug. 12 and is at its lowest since 1992.
Što uvaženi kolege misle, o povečanju cijene zlata na povijesni maximum!? To ne uljeva nadu u oporavak, više u sell signal.
Osim zlata rastu gotovo svi commodities kao i dionice rudarskih kompanija, kada si se već dotakao te teme onda navedi cijelu istinu. [yawn]
Moš mislit kako zlato raste. Usporedi ga sa CPI ili košaricom drugih valuta pa ćeš vidjet da od rasta štanga.