Tek je počelo…
Dry bulk freight rates trend up
Forecast for 2009 ocean freight is blurry at best.
By Dave Hannon — Purchasing, 2/10/2009 7:51:00 AM
After a dramatic plunge in the second half of 2008, the Baltic Dry Index took its biggest one-day jump since rates bottomed late last year rising 173 points Monday to hit 1,815. And the roller-coaster trend has shippers and analysts struggling to forecast what bulk ocean freight rates will do this year.
The Baltic Dry Index measures drybulk shipping rates on 40 routes across the world. At its peak in 2008 it was over 12,000, but plunged to a low of nearly 600 in December before starting to climb again this year.
While steel production in China, a major driver of bulk shipping, is showing signs of increasing according to some market watchers, a flood of new ships planned for this year (and commissioned when demand was at its peak) could offset any increases in demand for bulk freight.
Morgan Stanley analyst Ole Slorer told the Associated Press that while new ship deliveries might hamper demand a bit in the future, he says demand should creep steadily higher this year. He modestly increased his predictions for drybulk shipping rates this year.
In a recent Forbes report, Dahlman Rose analyst Omar Nokta said, if sustained, a rise in steel prices due to reduced stockpiles in China, is a sign that more iron ore will need to be shipped to China and increase demand for bulk freight. And Nokta says healthy steel mills in China can pay higher shipping rates for iron ore deliveries. But the current indicators from China’s industrial activity do not yet show that level of activity is present.
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Čekaj malo Techmane, ovo si izvukao iz krivog foldera…. [lol]
10.02.2009 > T: 05.02.09 Pros. cijena: 133,20
RB Dioničar Broj %
1. DRŽAVNA AGENCIJA ZA OSIG. ŠTEDNIH ULOGA I SANACIJU 1.034.455 63,20%
2. HZMO 111.667 6,82%
3. HRVATSKI FOND ZA PRIVATIZACIJU 43.569 2,66%
4. PBZ D.D. 27.758 1,70% +383
5. PBZ D.D. 27.693 1,69%
6. ZAGREBAČKA BANKA D.D./PICTET ET CIE 15.700 0,96%
7. HPB D.D. 11.297 0,69%
8. HPB D.D./HPB-INVEST – HPB GLOBAL OIF 10.791 0,66%
9. JADROPLOV D. D. 10.011 0,61%
10. SOCIETE GENERALE-SPLITSKA BANKA D.D./PROSPECTUS JUGO… 10.000 0,61%
Isti dan su prodavali malo atlantske nakon dužeg skupljanja
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Pa šta je tu tako strašno de ti nama objasni mi ti slabo kopčamo, par analitičara iznosi svoje mišljenje i po običaju se ne slažu i naravno da će jedan na kraju pogoditi jer eto on je to predvidio.
Kažem ti opet jednostavno ne možeš naći loših vjesti što se tiče suhogo rasutog tereta pa su ti ovo neke vjesti koje bi trebale utjecati na cjenu ali ja tu ne vidim ništa exsluzivno.
Idemo dalje. Sve je zanimljivije!
Baltic Exchange Dry Index 2055 UP 81
BCI Baltic Exchange Capesize Index 3822 UP 196
BPI Baltic Exchange Panamax Index 1517 DOWN 1
BSI Baltic Exchange Supramax Index 1089 UP 64
BHSI Baltic Exchange Handysize Index 463 UP 10
Evo mene adrenalin pere od trgovine. Sjevaju nalozi na sve strane..
evo i naši pokušavaju povoljnije doći do novogradnji, ko kaže da su nesposobni…
Jadroplov vs. Brodosplit: Ako škver ne snizi cijenu, nema posla
Sad kad je atpl uvalila Konavle možda i jdpl utopi Ista!
Sad kad je atpl uvalila Konavle možda i jdpl utopi Ista!
Bogami , vrijeme mu je.
Milja-dvije nije puno , ali čovjeka veseli.Pogotovo ako uspiju završiti prvi supramax do kraja godine (a drugi otkazati , kao što je netko na ovom forumu najavio).
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evo i naši pokušavaju povoljnije doći do novogradnji, ko kaže da su nesposobni…
Jadroplov vs. Brodosplit: Ako škver ne snizi cijenu, nema posla
A ha !! čudno da ovo nitko ne komentira! a trenutno je ovo daleko najbitniji moment za JDPL (osim što supramaxi index i dalje raste). A pisao sam o ovome još davno prije kad su mnogi te dealove uzimali zdravo za gotovo. Baš me zanima kako će se završit ova škver- Papić kombinacija, ali kako vidimo za sad ide na bolje (za JDPL). Go Papinjo!! [thumbsup]