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Iron ore prices will jump 20% to 30%

The official China Securities Journal reported that China’s steel industry association expects foreign miners to call for a 20% to 30% increase in benchmark iron ore prices in 2010.

Mr Luo Bingsheng vice chairman of the China Iron and Steel Association told the newspaper that the proposed price rises would complicate negotiations with Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton of Australia and Vale of Brazil.
Mr Luo’s comments were in line with current market expectations, with China’s surprisingly resilient demand for steel already prompting a number of banks to revise their benchmark price forecasts for 2010.

Macquarie Bank said that Australian iron ore fine prices were likely to increase 30% next year compared to a previous estimate of 10% while both RBS and Societe Generale raised their forecast of the 2010 hike to 20% from 10%.

Mr Luo told the newspaper that prospects for the Chinese steel industry in 2010 were much better than this year, with crude steel demand likely to increase by another 60 million tonnes.
CISA said last week that total crude steel output for 2009 was expected to reach 565 million tonnes.

5 January 2010
China plans to boost steel output by almost 9%
China is expected to increase steel supply by 8.6% in 2010 to 621.5 million metric tons, according to a report from the Mysteel consultancy in Shanghai. That will occur, says a report in the official Xinhua news agency, despite an expected increase in domestic prices caused by increased costs of iron ore, coking coal and other steelmaking ingredients.

The need for more steel stems from the multi-billion-dollar, multi-year economic stimulus package that has boosted production of such steel-bearing products as agricultural machinery and equipment, infrastructure construction materials, environmental protection equipment, motor vehicles and emission-reduction equipment. Since the construction of these key projects usually lasts for three years and longer, Xinhua says expanded consumption for such raw materials as steel will continue in 2010 and 2011.

Meanwhile, the Chinese central government has forecast that China’s economy as measured by gross domestic product will grow by between 8% and 10% in 2010. Some private economists put the figure even higher, at more than 10% since Li Yizhong, minister of the China Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, has announced fixed-asset investment growth of 22% this year.

So, with demand for steel expected to boost production in 2010, the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) expects foreign iron ore miners to call for a 20-30% increase in benchmark iron ore prices in 2010, the official China Securities Journal has reported. This forecast is in line with current market expectations as analysts have said the 2010 Asian benchmark price might inflate on Chinese buys.

However, Luo Bingsheng, vice-chairman of CISA, tells the newspaper that the proposed price rises would "complicate negotiations" with Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton of Australia and Vale of Brazil. China and the three major seaborne ore suppliers have been at odds for more than a year and actually never settled on a 2009 contract price. Instead, CISA members bought from the three mining firms on spot deals.

http://metalsplace.com/news/iron-steel/

Siguran znak za rast prije nekoliko dana si bio upravo ti…u kešu si i to je dovoljno
[/quote]
varas se….jucer se utrpao….kolega [cool]

BDI UP +

Baltic Exchange Dry Index 3270 UP 130
BCI Baltic Exchange Capesize Index 4431 UP 234
BPI Baltic Exchange Panamax Index 4003 UP 180
BSI Baltic Exchange Supramax Index 2256 UP 32
BHSI Baltic Exchange Handysize Index 1155 UP 4

bdi opp 130 pkt!
Baltic Exchange Dry Index 3270 UP 130
BCI Baltic Exchange Capesize Index 4431 UP 234
BPI Baltic Exchange Panamax Index 4003 UP 180
BSI Baltic Exchange Supramax Index 2256 UP 32
BHSI Baltic Exchange Handysize Index 1155 UP 4

je da je kiša i teška južina, al’ ovakav razvoj situacije izaziva osmjeh "od uva do uva" [lol]

A da nas za promjenu ti malo poštediš svojih prognoza jer si stvarno naporan![yawn]
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BDI – sve up !